To better understand point spreads, it first helps to get a firm grasp of the components involved. There are three main points to look at: the spread itself, the favorite, and the underdog.
The Point Spread
The point spread is the number of “phantom” points applied to a match, and these phantom points go two ways. One team will always receive extra points, while one team will get points knocked off their score.
For this reason, point spread bets almost always have odds that are very close to even. They’ll usually hover around the -110 zone, meaning close to even money for you if to place a bet at those odds.
The Favorite
The favorite is the team that sportsbooks expect to win the match-up outright. However, this has implications on the point spread, because the favorite is docked points with regards to the spread.
You can tell when a team is the favorite to win because the spread will have a minus symbol in front of the spread itself, indicating that team as the favorite. Here’s an example:
- NO Pelicans +9.5 (-110)
- PHO Suns -9.5 (-110)
In this scenario, the Pheonix Suns are the clear favorite to win. Oddsmakers except the Suns to win by 9.5 points, thus the spread.
The Underdog
The underdog is the team expected to lose the match up, and the point spread gives this team an advantage. The underdog is always the team with a plus symbol before the spread. In the same example from above, the Pelicans are the underdogs:
- NO Pelicans +9.5 (-110)
- PHO Suns -9.5 (-110)
Based on a number of factors—past performance, stats, injuries, etc.—oddsmakers believe the Pelicans will lose by about 9-10 points, so the spread for them is set at +9.5. That gives the underdog a slight advantage to cover the spread. If it’s a close game, a bet on the Pelicans would look great.
Evens Or Pick ‘Em Spreads
If the teams in a given game are evenly matched, you might not see a point spread offered at all. In this case, the bet is called “evens” or a “pick ‘em.” This is because there’s no clear favorite, and a point spread bet becomes effectively the same as a moneyline bet—a wager on one team to win outright.
Treat evens as though they’re a moneyline bet. With no advantage or disadvantage coming in the form of a point spread, they’re effectively the same thing as an outright win wager.
Alternate Spreads
Many sportsbooks offer alternate spreads on games. If you don’t like the line the sportsbook has set, you can usually dive into the market in question and find an alternate spread. Bear in mind, however, that the alternate spreads come with odds that match the potential outcome. So you might get a much more favorable and likely point spread, but the odds and possible payout will reflect that.